Archive
2026
- Xi's Timeline: Reading Chinese Intentions From Statements, Structures, and Force Development
- Who Owns the Strait: The Legal Status of Taiwan's Waters and Why It Matters Now
- What the War Games Say: The Simulations That Are Shaping Taiwan Contingency Planning
- Vietnam's Angle: The South China Sea Dispute and Its Connection to Taiwan's Security
- The Trade Trap: Cross-Strait Economic Integration and Its Strategic Implications
- The Senkaku Overlap: How Japan's Island Dispute Entangles With Taiwan's Security
- The Ryukyu Chain: Japan's Southern Islands and the Geography of Taiwan's Defense
- The Rocket Force: China's Missile Arsenal and What It Can Do to Taiwan in the First Hours
- The Reservist Problem: Taiwan's Effort to Build a Military That Can Actually Fight
- The Price of War: Modeling the Global Economic Cost of a Taiwan Conflict
- The Porcupine Strategy: Taiwan's Shift Toward Asymmetric Defense
- The PLAN Buildup: How China Built the World's Largest Navy and What It Means for the Strait
- The Philippine Pivot: How Manila's Basing Decision Reshaped the Taiwan Defense Geometry
- The Nuclear Shadow: How Atomic Weapons Shape Taiwan Strait Deterrence Without Being Used
- The Median Line: The Invisible Boundary That Kept the Peace and Is Now Being Erased
- The Invasion Scenario: How the PLA Plans to Cross 110 Miles of Water
- The Fighter Gap: Taiwan's Air Force and the Battle It Cannot Win Conventionally
- The Digital Front: China's Cyber Operations Against Taiwan's Infrastructure and Defense
- The Democracy Variable: Why Taiwan's Political System Is the Real Subject of the Dispute
- The Chip Factories: Why TSMC Makes Taiwan the Most Economically Critical Island on Earth
- The Blockade: The Taiwan Scenario More Likely Than Invasion and More Difficult to Respond To
- The Arms Pipeline: American Weapons Sales to Taiwan and the Backlog That Defines a Relationship
- Taiwan Makes Its Own Weapons: The Indigenous Defense Industry and Its Strategic Logic
- Taiwan Builds Its Own Submarines: The Indigenous Defense Submarine Program and What It Means
- Singapore's Tightrope: The City-State That Cannot Afford to Choose
- Seoul's Silence: Why South Korea Cannot Afford to Take a Side on Taiwan
- Pricing the Risk: How Financial Markets Are Incorporating Taiwan Strait Probability
- Kinmen and Matsu: The Offshore Islands That Taiwan Still Holds Three Miles from China
- India's Taiwan Calculation: The Swing State That Watches Without Committing
- Fuel and the Island: Taiwan's Energy Vulnerability in a Conflict Scenario
- Europe's Taiwan Problem: The Continent That Depends on the Outcome Without Shaping It
- Dispersing the Fabs: TSMC's Expansion Beyond Taiwan and Its Geopolitical Limits
- Cognitive Warfare: China's Information Operations Against Taiwan's Will to Resist
- Civil Defense: Whether Taiwan's Population Is Ready for What Its Military Is Preparing For
- China's Carriers: What the PLAN's Flatdecks Can and Cannot Do in a Taiwan Scenario
- Below the Threshold: China's Gray Zone Campaign Against Taiwan
- Australia's Taiwan Calculation: The Ally Closest to the Conflict That Least Wants to Name It
- American Deterrence in the Western Pacific: What the US Navy Can and Cannot Do
- 1996: The Crisis That Shaped Everything That Came After
- 1949: The Unfinished War and the Political Fiction That Has Governed the Strait Ever Since